学帮网英语翻译亚运会是世界重要的体育赛事,对其合理评估具有重大意义,本文通过对2010年广州亚运会的经济影响力的评估,得到基于经济总量和经济结构层面的三个数学模型,并对模型作了合理评
来源：学生作业学帮网 编辑：学帮网 时间：2024/05/14 06:22:54
英语翻译
亚运会是世界重要的体育赛事,对其合理评估具有重大意义,本文通过对2010年广州亚运会的经济影响力的评估,得到基于经济总量和经济结构层面的三个数学模型,并对模型作了合理评价.
模型一：选取基本建设投资额和更新改造投资两项指标,建立灰色预测模型,评估亚运会对基本建设投资和更新改造投资的影响.
结果显示：亚运会对基本建设投资增长的贡献为2213.3亿元,占2005-2009年基本建设投资总量的47%；对更新改造投资增量的贡献为370亿元,占2005-2009年更新改造总量的21%.
模型二:在模型一的基础上,建立静态投入产出模型,分析受亚运会影响的基本建设投资和更新改造投资增量对总产出的诱发额和对增加值（即广州GDP）的诱发额.
结果显示：亚运会通过基本建设投资和更新改造投资的波及效应,对总产出诱发额为1805.76亿元,对广州GDP的诱发额为534.66亿元.
模型三：亚运会不仅对筹备期广州GDP和总产出影响大,而且提高了未来生产能力.将广东42部门归并为6部门,建立动态投入产出模型,预测到2010年广东六部门总产出结构.
三个模型的结果表明,亚运会对广州经济的影响很大.
关键词：灰色预测 静态投入产出 动态投入产出 亚运会
The Asian games is the important sports event, for the rational evaluation has the great significance, this article through to the 2010 guangzhou Asian economic influence of the assessment, and get the economy and economic structure based on the total level of three mathematics model, and the reasonable evaluation model.
A model: the basic construction investment and innovation investment two indexes, set up grey forecasting model, and evaluation of basic construction investment and Asian games upgrading the influence of investment.
The result shows: the Asian games in capital construction investment growth contribution for 221.33 billion yuan, accounting for 2005-2009, 47% of the total investment in capital construction; To retrofit the contribution of investment increment for 37 billion yuan, accounting for 2005-2009, 21% of the total retrofit.
Model 2: in a model is developed on the basis of static input-output model, analyzes the impact of the Asian games by basic construction investment and innovation investment increment in the total output value added to the forehead and cause (i.e. guangzhou GDP) of inducing the forehead.
The result shows: the Asian games through investment in capital construction and retrofit spread effect of investment, the output forehead induced is 180.576 billion yuan and the amount of guangzhou GDP induced for 53.466 billion yuan.
Model three: the Asian games is not only to the preparatory period guangzhou GDP and output great influence, but also improve the future production ability. Guangdong 42 department will incorporated into 6 departments, build dynamic input-output model, forecast that by 2010 guangdong six department output structure.
Three model results show that the Asian games to the guangzhou economic influence.